BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alcorn St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 306 Conference: Southwest Athletic Record: (8-10) Overall: (12-17) Overall Strength =   24.75

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    -1.85  33  82    1 110 ( 17- 12) Tulsa                 -27.33    -21.67                      
  2 11-09-2022 Away    L    32.52  53  67    1 120 ( 16- 13) Wichita St              7.05    -21.05                      
  3 11-13-2022 Away    L    30.20  59  90    1  44 ( 22-  9) Illinois                4.73 *  -35.73                      
  4 11-16-2022 Home    W    28.89 100  51   ZZ 170 (  0-  2) Ark Baptist             3.42 *   45.58                      
  5 11-22-2022 Home    W    30.63  65  56    1 311 (  8- 19) New Orleans             5.15      3.85                      
  6 12-03-2022 Away    L    34.09  59  70    1 125 ( 19- 11) Louisiana Tech          8.61    -19.61                      
  7 12-06-2022 Home    W    23.75  45  41    1 319 (  8- 18) Central Arkansas       -1.73      5.73                      
  8 12-13-2022 Home    W    31.01  88  48   ZZ 127 (  0-  2) Tougaloo                5.53 *   34.47                      
  9 12-16-2022 Away    L    30.07  47  82    1  27 ( 23-  8) Colorado                4.60 *  -39.60                      
 10 12-19-2022 Away    L    20.91  65  69    1 323 (  7- 23) ULM                    -4.57      0.57                      
 11 12-21-2022 Away    L    25.92  56  70    1 189 ( 13- 16) Alabama-Birmingham      0.44    -14.44                      
 12 01-02-2023 Home    L *  33.06  49  59    1  93 ( 20-  8) Jackson St              7.59    -17.59                      
 13 01-07-2023 Home    L *  15.41  56  63    1 302 ( 14- 14) Alabama A&M           -10.07      3.07                      
 14 01-09-2023 Home    L *  20.53  91  93    1 295 ( 15- 14) Alabama St             -4.95      2.95                      
 15 01-14-2023 Away    W *  30.89  76  67 1  1 347 (  2- 27) TX Southern             5.41      3.59                      
 16 01-16-2023 Away    L *  29.33  55  56    1 279 ( 15- 14) Prairie View            3.85     -4.85                      
 17 01-21-2023 Home    W *  30.66  72  60    1 339 (  6- 23) Florida A&M             5.18      6.82                      
 18 01-23-2023 Home    W *  33.71  58  49    1 281 ( 11- 17) Bethune-Cookman         8.23      0.77                      
 19 01-28-2023 Away    L *  28.40  62  65    1 261 ( 15- 14) Southern Univ           2.92     -5.92                      
 20 01-30-2023 Away    W *  36.18  58  52    1 296 ( 10- 19) Grambling              10.70     -4.70                      
 21 02-04-2023 Home    L *  13.12  61  73    1 283 ( 12- 16) Ark Pine Bluff        -12.36      0.36                      
 22 02-06-2023 Home    W *  30.15  74  51    1 362 (  2- 27) MS Valley St            4.67     18.33                      
 23 02-11-2023 Away    L *  21.83  60  68    1 281 ( 11- 17) Bethune-Cookman        -3.65     -4.35                      
 24 02-13-2023 Away    W *  29.78  73  67    1 339 (  6- 23) Florida A&M             4.30      1.70                      
 25 02-18-2023 Away    L *  16.19  49  81    1  93 ( 20-  8) Jackson St             -9.29    -22.71                      
 26 02-25-2023 Home    L *  15.21  88  98    1 279 ( 15- 14) Prairie View          -10.27      0.27                      
 27 02-27-2023 Home    W *  22.77  72  66    1 347 (  2- 27) TX Southern            -2.71      8.71                      
 28 03-02-2023 Away    W *  23.27  69  58    1 362 (  2- 27) MS Valley St           -2.21     13.21                      
 29 03-04-2023 Away    L *  22.24  66  74    1 283 ( 12- 16) Ark Pine Bluff         -3.24     -4.76                      
      Averages              25.48  64.1 66.4

Best game:   36.18 = 6 point win over Grambling
Worst game:  -1.85 = 49 point loss to Tulsa
Team stdev:   8.18